Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.174588 0.196932 0.220483 0.247102 0.276298 0.307288 0.342614
2025-05-11 0.146793 0.177255 0.211114 0.251349 0.297657 0.349082 0.410297
2025-05-18 0.128292 0.164320 0.206226 0.258154 0.320334 0.391941 0.480157
2025-05-25 0.109811 0.148629 0.195717 0.256335 0.331533 0.420948 0.534428
2025-06-01 0.095665 0.136276 0.187475 0.255692 0.343018 0.449806 0.588869
2025-06-08 0.084030 0.125622 0.179982 0.254741 0.353212 0.476693 0.641207
2025-06-15 0.076722 0.119799 0.177941 0.260166 0.371193 0.513466 0.706740
2025-06-22 0.068734 0.112082 0.172481 0.260255 0.381646 0.540445 0.760178
2025-06-29 0.061796 0.105085 0.167269 0.259999 0.391156 0.566048 0.812189
2025-07-06 0.055779 0.098796 0.162431 0.259683 0.400172 0.590889 0.863553
2025-07-13 0.051370 0.094508 0.160081 0.262570 0.413486 0.621681 0.923535
2025-07-20 0.048447 0.092273 0.160551 0.269439 0.432532 0.660739 0.995702
2025-07-27 0.044325 0.087797 0.157421 0.270969 0.444263 0.690538 1.056891
2025-08-03 0.041390 0.085033 0.156741 0.276108 0.461409 0.728456 1.130498
2025-08-10 0.039232 0.083400 0.157714 0.283774 0.482530 0.772624 1.214112
2025-08-17 0.035511 0.078551 0.152979 0.281984 0.488998 0.795497 1.267635
2025-08-24 0.032385 0.074465 0.149182 0.281385 0.497108 0.820827 1.325184
2025-08-31 0.029515 0.070549 0.145349 0.280410 0.504421 0.844993 1.381447
2025-09-07 0.027950 0.069046 0.145640 0.286308 0.522797 0.886236 1.463879
2025-09-14 0.025698 0.065892 0.142692 0.286421 0.531695 0.913119 1.525335
2025-09-21 0.023604 0.062830 0.139662 0.286155 0.539836 0.938910 1.585595
2025-09-28 0.021691 0.059938 0.136718 0.285817 0.547731 0.964392 1.645828
2025-10-05 0.020342 0.058152 0.135756 0.288943 0.561477 0.999339 1.721279